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IN THIS ISSUE

Dear Toolbox Readers,

You may have heard the talking heads on TV saying that September is the worst month for stocks, historically speaking of course.

Most people.. if asked, would guess October because of all the famous crashes in October.

Let's take a deep look and see just what September actually brings...

If I look at the average monthly gains from 1945-2006 there are two months that show an average return of less than zero. February shows an average loss of two tenths of one percent. September shows an average loss of 7 tenths of one percent.

The strongest month would be December with an average gain of just under two percent.

The average annual returns when the stock market goes down in September is 3.3%. The average calendar year returns when the market goes up in September is 21.5% (on the S&P).

If we average the losses in Septembers going back to 1926 we get a 4.8% average loss. If we look at the average gains in Septembers going back that far, the average September gain is 3.6%.

So... What does it all mean?

Well, it means that if September is an up month, the average yearly gains are pretty damn good... But it seems in other years many of the gains are given back in September.

Given the spectacular run we have had in the market and the possibility for a pullback I expect this September to hold with tradition and be a down month.

You just have to go with the odds on this one.

One Final Note About That...

If we look at the most recent data... say going back to 1980, we see that the average monthly loss for September is actually BIGGER than the average monthly loss going back to 1950, so it seems to be more true now.

But here is the kicker...

September does not have to be the worst month of the year for you!

If you have been reading this newsletter for very long you know that we "call out" the big boys for their market manipulations. You know that we call out the government on their bogus data reports.

We have shown you a myriad of reasons why this economy as a whole has some serious problems. We have rising unemployment, mortgage delinquencies are skyrocketing, the banks are in trouble and so is the FDIC.

Many experts are predicting that we will retest the lows from March and that is a long way down from here.

The point is this.

You CAN make money in a falling market...

And if September brings a down month... or the the economy continues to falter we may see a whole new leg down in the markets for some time to come.

We searched high & low to find an expert at making money when stocks fall and we found a really good guy.

His name is Dan Messer and he is one of the best.

Dan has a service called "Short Stocks" and his track record is a MUST SEE!

So far this year Dan has closed 214 trades with a 97.66% win ratio.

Dan trades stocks, ETFs and options. On option trades he shoots for gains of 100% whereas on stocks and ETFs he shoots for gains of 10-15%

I convinced Dan to let our subscribers try his service for free.

No Credit Card Required At All.

Dan agreed and wants everyone to take a look.

Dan often covers his risk with a position in an option to make his risk even lower and his signals are as precise as any I have seen anywhere.

Dan has a very good history and in all of our dealings with him he has proven to be a genuine and honest person to boot.

There are so many scams and bullsh*t services on the web, you really have to be careful. We know Dan and many other market experts and trading professionals.

We only recommend doing business with people we know, trust and like. Some things are too important to risk.

So here is what you should do now.

Pop over to the Short Stocks sign up form. It will take about 20 seconds to fill it out. You will have to click the confirmation e-mail to actually start the 14 day free trial.

Dan will set you up with a trial subscription and send you a welcome e-mail. You will get a look at the entire track record for 2009 with every trade listed win or lose.

Then you'll get any new trades that Dan finds as well as updates on the currently open positions.

DO NOT BE AFRAID...

Shorting stocks is not that hard to do. Covering your risk with an option position is a little trickier but with an expert like Dan on your side I know you should be able to figure it out.

If the markets come unglued again and we see another big leg down you NEED to know how to take advantage of the market conditions.

You have to play the hand you are dealt...

We saw what happened last year when investors were not in a position to take advantage of the falling market. Do not let that happen to you next time.

One more point to make...

Dan is an expert at trading. Dan is an expert at shorting. But Dan generated this great track record even in a market that so far this year has been anything but predictable.

I would give Dan a try if I were you.

Some time later this year or next year we will likely write about Dan again, and the track record will likely be just as impressive.

Don't you think you should be in on the action?

Take the 14 Day trial... For Free.

Until Next Time...

Best Wishes and Good Investing,
Bill McKinley & Doug Newberry
The Investing Systems Network